The most optimistic near term future for Nepal include the following three events: the PLA integration into Nepal Army; drafting of a compromise constitution (a few years behind deadline); and institution of a rough federalism model. All these would be monumental achievements as seen from the dire prospects of the present. However, those success may not come close to securing the Nepali dream of a functioning, responsive government and a developing nation. The most certain outcome is that even then Nepal would suffer from the sickness engulfing the present day Philippines.
Banyan's analysis of the upcoming elections in Philippines highlights the cultural ills of that society, all of which are intimately familiar to any Nepali: "shortage of political commitment to the public good"; "violence embedded in the political system"; corruption; absence of policy from political campaigns; administrative and political gridlock. Also the brightest spot for Philippines are its people who work abroad to send back remittances, just like in Nepal.
It is evident that the culture of political gridlock and absence of any policy discussion during campaigns will not be solved simply because a new constitution is written in Nepal. That means the system is not the culprit by itself. It is the culture of our political sphere that needs rewiring. Banyan's hope that the swelling population of emigrants would effect the domestic elections might be possible in Philippines. In Nepal, unless the new constitutions mandates voting rights and privileges for Nepalese abroad, even that possibility of change is dim.
In one respect Philippine politicians are different than their Nepali counterparts? There are no avowedly "pro-business" leaders in Nepal. We have numerous leaders and parties and constituents representing the failed Communist ideology, as well as those representing each and every ethnicity. But there is not a single leader or party, distinctly in favor of business, growth and capitalism. Without advancement in private investment and business, there is no development. But where is our pro-business leader?